Jeff Roe

Jeff Roe (born September 25, 1970) is an American political consultant and strategist for the Republican Party. He is the founder and principal of Axiom Strategies, a political consulting firm based in Kansas City, Missouri, with twelve offices in eight states. He formerly served as a chief of staff, campaign manager, and longtime aide for United States Representative Sam Graves.

Known for his aggressive campaign techniques, Roe has earned a reputation as a "bare-knuckle" political operative who "plays to win." Roe has been called "the next Karl Rove".

Roe has consulted for a variety of local, state, and federal political campaigns including the presidential campaigns of Mike Huckabee, Rick Perry and Ted Cruz. Roe was the senior strategist and campaign manager for Cruz's 2016 presidential bid. Roe has also advised numerous members of Congress, U.S. Senate, governors and other statewide candidates including Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy and House Majority Leader Steve Scalise.

Roe has served as a strategist for the Club for Growth on various issue and candidate campaigns. This includes U.S. Senator Josh Hawley's 2018 victory against Democratic incumbent Claire McCaskill. Additionally, he has worked on numerous ballot measures and issue campaigns; examples include passing Jackson County's bond initiative in 2006 to renovate the Arrowhead and Kaufman stadiums, financing the Raiders stadium in Las Vegas in 2016, and the enactment of Proposition B in Missouri in 2010 to reform puppy mill regulations.

Background Roe is a native of Brookfield, Missouri. He grew up on his family's farm, which grew corn and soybean, and raised hogs and cattle. When asked how his upbringing prepared him for a career in politics, Roe said "hog farms are a lot cleaner." Roe is an avid baseball fan. During his early political career, he worked part time as a professional baseball umpire, eventually progressing to Division I in 1997 before leaving to pursue campaigns and politics full time. He currently lives with his wife and three children in Houston, Texas.

Roe and Axiom Strategies became involved with presidential politics for the first time when the firm managed grassroots outreach for Mike Huckabee's 2008 presidential campaign.

In 2006, Congressman Sam Graves' brother Todd Graves was wrongfully dismissed from his position as a U.S. Attorney. It was discovered that Todd Graves' firing was retaliation from Senator Kit Bond's office over Sam Graves' refusal to fire Roe.

Roe and his consulting firm widened their national footprint in 2010, contributing to the election efforts of Congressmen Allen West (FL-22), Rick Crawford (AR-1), Kevin Yoder (KS-3), Blaine Luetkemeyer (MO-9), Sam Graves (MO-6), Billy Long (MO-7), Chuck Fleischmann (TN-3), Jo Ann Emerson (MO-8) and Senators Roy Blunt (MO), Jerry Moran (KS) and John Boozman (AR). Roe also counted a number of high-profile losing clients the same year, including Wink Harman, Jim Barnett, Bill Stouffer, and Van Tran.

In 2011, The Kansas City Star wrote that Roe had "evolved into a mainstream player," citing his work to pass a Kansas City sales tax increase to create a nicer home for wild animals at the Kansas City Zoo. Democratic campaign consultant Steve Glorioso said Roe's work on behalf of the zoo tax increase "raised Roe's stature with the civic community" and that Roe's opponents "probably discovered his horns have smooth, not sharp, edges." His staff grew from eight people in 2008 to seventeen by 2011.

Roe is well known for using sophisticated polling and campaign data to make strategic decisions, including targeting phone calls and other campaign messages to hit the ideas most likely to resonate with particular voters. Political columnist Al Hunt said that if Cruz is successful, "Roe may become a rock star in politics, on a par with Lee Atwater, James Carville, and David Plouffe." The New Republic called the Cruz campaign "a vintage Jeff Roe campaign: obsessively disciplined, well-funded, laser-focused on the base" and described Roe as "equal parts drill sergeant, data junkie, brawler, and entrepreneur."

Election cycles

2012-2013

In the 2012 election cycle, Axiom Strategies worked for Rick Perry's presidential campaign and for Richard Mourdock in his upset over Dick Lugar in the Indiana Senate primary. He was also named one of Missouri's top 5 GOP "Influencers" by Campaigns & Elections Magazine.

2014-2015

In 2014, Roe hired Travis Smith, the former chief-of-staff for Congressman Kevin Yoder. That same year, Roe was the lead consultant for Martha McSally's successful bid for Congress, in which she defeated incumbent Ron Barber by 167 votes in the closest congressional election in Arizona history. McSally's victory was the closest congressional race in the nation for 2014. Roe was also involved in Mark Walker and David Rouzer's elections to open congressional seats in North Carolina and Glenn Grothman's election to the open congressional seat in Wisconsin. He also consulted for the re-election bids of Kevin Yoder, Ann Wagner, Sam Graves, Blaine Luetkemeyer, Billy Long, Chuck Fleischmann and Jason Smith. In Texas State Senate races, Roe consulted for Bob Hall, who ousted 12-year incumbent Bob Deuell, and for Don Huffines, who unseated nearly 20-year incumbent John Carona. Roe was involved in five of the top ten Republican takeover seats in the country.

In 2014, Roe was hired by Ted Cruz as a political strategist.

2016-2017

After Cruz announced his candidacy for president on March 23, 2015, it was reported that Roe was the campaign manager and senior strategist for Cruz. In December 2015, U.S. News & World Report named Cruz's campaign "best of the 2016 campaign in 2015."

Roe was hired by Catherine Hanaway for her 2016 gubernatorial campaign in Missouri. After the suicide of Republican candidate Tom Schweich, the State Auditor of Missouri, Roe's campaign tactics have been criticized by former U.S. Senator John Danforth.

On January 24, 2016, Roe was featured on Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace as "Power Player of the Week".

Ted Cruz's victory in the 2016 Republican Iowa caucus put Roe into the spotlight. Roe was credited as "the architect of Cruz's first-place finish." MSNBC commentator Willie Geist called Roe "the David Axelrod of Cruz's campaign". Commenting on Roe's prediction that Cruz would win and Marco Rubio would come close to challenging Donald Trump, Geist said: "They knew to the decimal point what their model could handle and that was almost exactly what the results were."

2018-2019

In 2018, Roe was the senior strategist for Ted Cruz's successful U.S. Senate re-election bid. Roe consulted on Martha McSally's unsuccessful campaign for an open U.S. Senate seat in Arizona. On December 18, 2018, McSally was appointed by Arizona Governor Doug Ducey to fill the remainder of John McCain's U.S. Senate term. Roe also worked on behalf of Ron DeSantis' successful bid for Florida Governor. In his home state of Missouri, Roe served as the chief strategist for Club for Growth's independent expenditure campaign to support Josh Hawley's successful bid for U.S. Senate. Roe's company worked to re-elect more than 90% of his 74 previously elected congressmen, and added Ross Spano (FL-15), Kevin Hern (OK-1), Ron Wright (TX-6), and Lance Gooden (TX-5) to their roster.

2020-2021

In 2020, Roe advised the campaigns of several dozen Republican candidates. These included Tommy Tuberville, Mike Parson, and Eric Schmitt, as well as several congressmen including House minority leader Kevin McCarthy, House minority whip Steve Scalise, Troy Nehls, and Stephanie Bice. This was the year that Axiom Strategies assisted in the election of its 100th member of Congress since the company's founding.

In 2021, Roe managed the campaign of Glenn Youngkin for the office of Governor of Virginia. Youngkin won the Republican primary in a six-way ranked choice election and then faced off against former Democratic governor Terry McAuliffe. The media noted that in Youngkin's victory, he picked up more than 50% of the Hispanic vote, 55% of the Asian vote, and 25% of the vote of Black Americans.

2023-2024

In March 2023, Roe was hired by the Never Back Down Super PAC, a group supporting Florida Governor Ron DeSantis for President in 2024. Roe stepped down from his role with the PAC in December 2023.

Following Roe's stint at Never Back Down, former President Donald Trump and his allies reportedly began warning Republican candidates against hiring Roe or his firm Axiom. This was a means to get revenge on Roe for supporting DeSantis over Trump.

Expansion of campaign services

Roe's footprint has grown partly by acquiring companies that provide specific campaign services, or by building these services.

Roe founded a creative agency and direct mail firm called "Command" and the polling and public opinion research company Remington Research Group. Roe restructured his business model in August 2013 in order to handle an uptick in business. Axiom's internal direct mail capability was spun off into a standalone business called Candidate Command, and both the mail firm and Axiom grew by 40%.

In 2018, Roe's political operation grew to include a ground game firm called Vanguard Field Strategies. Vanguard Field Strategies worked on 52 individual campaigns in 19 different states in 2018. Roe also announced a strategic partnership with Prosper Group, a digital marketing agency, that combined represented a quarter of GOP lawmakers at the time. As reported by Roll Call, the partnership presented a significant strategic value in that "general consultants who manage campaigns will now have more of a voice inside the digital teams of each campaign when they partner with Prosper."

In 2019, Axiom acquired Wright, Williams and Associate, a grassroots and field management operation, and merged it into its Vanguard Strategies shop. They also launched "Candidate Command." The write-up in Campaigns & Elections said, "One of the biggest full-service shops on the right is getting into the self-service mail game… with clients able to send a single mail piece or an entire campaign and hit from 30-30,000 households."