Andrew Krepinevich

Andrew Francis Krepinevich Jr. (born 13 February 1950) is a defense policy analyst who is a distinguished senior fellow at (and former longtime president of) the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. Civilian career Following his retirement from the army, Krepinevich assumed his current position as director of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, a non-profit think tank focused on defense and national security issues. While at CSBA he has served on the National Defense Panel and Defense Policy Board, and advised senior military and civilian policymakers. In 2005, he published an influential Foreign Affairs article on "How to Win in Iraq". Informed by Krepinevich's previous research on Vietnam, the article called for the adoption of a population-centric counterinsurgency strategy much like the approach implemented during the "Surge" of U.S. forces two years later. In 2009 he published 7 Deadly Scenarios: A Military Futurist Explores War in the 21st Century, which presents seven hypothetical scenarios that would severely challenge the U.S. military. His recent work has frequently addressed the challenges posed by the modernization of China's military forces, Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons, and the proliferation of precision-guided munitions.

Krepinivich has also served as an adjunct professor at George Mason University, the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University and Georgetown University.

Krepinevich's pending departure from CSBA was announced following a July 2015 meeting by the think tank's board of directors. In March 2016, he became a senior distinguished fellow at CSBA.

In 2023, Krepinevich published The Origins of Victory: How Disruptive Military Innovation Determines the Fates of Great Powers, in which he describes the ongoing military revolution unfolding around the reconnaissance-strike complex and precision warfare paradigm. He then uses four case studies of disruptive military innovation - the fundamental reform of the Royal Navy by Jackie Fisher, the re-emergence of maneuver warfare via Blitzkrieg tactics, the displacement of the line of battle and its focus on battleships by aircraft carrier operations pioneered by the U.S. Navy, and the transition from mass tactical bombing to precision bombing developed within the United States Air Force - to illustrate its impact on military history and how it may be sustained in the early 21st century.